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Recent Developments · The Mortgage & Credit Crisis

October 30, 2008 - Geanakoplos/Koniak: Mortgage Justice Is Blind [OPINION]

Yale economist John Geanakoplos and lawyer Susan Koniak suggest that if the U.S. wants to avoid a tsunami of home foreclosures, then Congress must transfer the rights to restructure mortgages from security holders back to community-based, government-appointed trustees. (NYT)

October 29, 2008 - Treasury, FDIC Discuss $600B Anti-Foreclosure Plan

The U.S. Treasury and Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation are reportedly planning a new $600 billion federal program to guarantee mortgages and help prevent home foreclosures.  The program could potentially guarantee up to 3 million at-risk mortgages. (Reuters)

October 23, 2008 - Home Sales May Have Bottomed [OPINION]

Economist Rebecca Wilder argues that with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac now explicitly backed by the U.S. government, there is no reason for the housing market not to “stabilize.” (News N Economics)

July 27, 2008

The Mortgage & Credit Crisis

Background & Analysis

An excellent introduction to the subject for non-experts is in this Wikipedia entry.

For experts and professionals, the four most perceptive and outspoken analysts of the crisis have been Nouriel Roubini, Paul Krugman, and Robert Shiller, all economists, and Charles Morris, a writer and former banker.

The best single overview of the crisis, still relevant, is Charles Morris’ book The Trillion Dollar Meltdown, which was published in February 2008 and predicted total losses of $1 trillion. You can purchase the book here. A review from the Economist summarizes the book well. The Economist

Morris’ estimate of $1 trillion in losses was recently confirmed by the IMF’s April 2008 Global Financial Stability Report. An excellent summary of the study is found at The Housing Wire

The full text of the IMF report is at The IMF

Nouriel Roubini tends to be the most pessimistic of the principal analysts, predicting total losses could reach $3 trillion, a number far higher than most believe plausible. He has written extensively on the subject on his economics website and blog, www.rgemonitor.com. Details on Fannie and Freddie can found on James Hamilton’s blog (reprinted at RGEmonitor).

Paul Krugman has written about the mortgage problem repeatedly in his New York Times op-ed column, most recently here. In a March 2008 interview in Fortune, found here, he predicted a drop of 25% in U.S. home prices by the time the crisis bottoms out. This interview is on CNN

Categories: Business & Finance In-Depth · The Mortgage & Credit Crisis

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